This is a Forecasting Specialist – Remote | $245/hr role with Mercor based in AU Mercor Role Seniority - senior More about the Forecasting Specialist – Remote | $245/hr role at Mercor About The Job Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark, General Catalyst, Peter Thiel, Adam D'Angelo, Larry Summers, and Jack Dorsey. Position: Superforecaster Type: Independent Contractor Compensation: $140–$245/hour Location: Remote Commitment: 10–20 hours/week Role Responsibilities Deliver calibrated, evidence-backed forecasts on complex, real-world questions. Document forecasting rationale, methodology, and sources with clarity and structure. Participate in peer review and collaborative forecast refinement. Advise on prompt quality, scoring frameworks, and resolution criteria. Support the evaluation of AI-generated forecasts against human benchmarks. Qualifications Must-Have Recognized affiliation with a forecasting organization (e.g., GJP, Swift Centre, RFI, IIF). Demonstrated forecasting accuracy and calibration over multiple years. Experience contributing to high-stakes or public forecasting tournaments. Strong analytical, probabilistic, and written communication skills. Comfortable working independently and asynchronously on structured tasks. Compensation & Legal Independent contractor Application Process (Takes 20–30 mins to complete) Submit your Mercor profile or resume to get started. Complete a brief form. We’ll follow up within a few days with next steps. Resources & Support For details about the interview process and platform information, please check: https://talent.docs.mercor.com/welcome/welcome For any help or support, reach out to: support@mercor.com PS: Our team reviews applications daily. Please complete your AI interview and application steps to be considered for this opportunity. , Show more Show less Before we jump into the responsibilities of the role. No matter what you come in knowing, you’ll be learning new things all the time and the Mercor team will be there to support your growth. Please consider applying even if you don't meet 100% of what’s outlined Key Responsibilities Delivering forecasts Participating in peer review Advising on quality Key Strengths Forecasting accuracy Analytical skills ✍️ Written communication Why Mercor is partnering with Hatch on this role. Hatch exists to level the playing field for people as they discover a career that’s right for them. So when you apply you have the chance to show more than just your resume. A Final Note: This is a role with Mercor not with Hatch.
